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Either banks need to default on their senior obligations, or the government will need to default alongside the banks.

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How to Default on Sovereign Debt

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The EU s Rules to Default By

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Measured against these principles, Reagan failed on (2) and (4) and adopted (1) only by default Paul Volcker s anti inflation policy in the 1980 s dismayed many of Reagan s close aides.

This was deemed a credit event, so credit default swaps were exercised anyone who insured against default had to pay out.

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After the Greek Default

Why Greece Will Default

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They are supposed to provide insurance against default to bondholders.

(Indeed, by most accounts, it is about to default.)

Despite this, Germany continued to default on her obligations.

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Credit Default Swaps on Trial

The Euro Zone s Default Position

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There is a close parallel between the euro crisis and the Latin American debt crisis of 1982, when the International Monetary Fund saved the international financial system by lending just enough money to the heavily indebted countries to enable them to avoid default.

This scalability was magnified by the use of credit default swaps (CDSs), which offered phony insurance against default.

But, because Greek euro bonds were regarded as a close substitute for other countries euro bonds, the interest rate on Greek bonds did not rise as Greece increased its borrowing until the market began to fear a possible default.

Second, banks would also suffer because they had sold insurance against default in the form of credit default swaps.

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At that point, they will default.

At that point, Greece will default.

The official line so far has been no default, meaning no sovereign default or that of any bank can be considered.

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Nor does Greece s default history inspire confidence.

Signs of default stress are already showing.

Predictions of outright default are far fetched.

As lenders, banks lose when borrowers default.

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