When financial markets discovered that supposedly riskless government bonds might be forced into default, they raised risk premiums dramatically.

Some form of default will almost surely be forced upon Greece, and this may be the most preferable alternative.

Short of default and inflation, most countries are forced to accept big tax hikes and spending cuts, often triggering or deepening a recession.

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Either banks need to default on their senior obligations, or the government will need to default alongside the banks.

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How to Default on Sovereign Debt

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The EU s Rules to Default By

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This was deemed a credit event, so credit default swaps were exercised anyone who insured against default had to pay out.

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The mistrust and fear that this elicits in the bond markets can lead to liquidity crises that, creating a self fulfilling prophecy, drive countries closer to default. They are then forced to implement austerity programs that lead to deep recessions and, ultimately, to banking crises.

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After the Greek Default

Why Greece Will Default

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They are supposed to provide insurance against default to bondholders.

(Indeed, by most accounts, it is about to default.)

Despite this, Germany continued to default on her obligations.

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Credit Default Swaps on Trial

The Euro Zone s Default Position

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This scalability was magnified by the use of credit default swaps (CDSs), which offered phony insurance against default.

Second, banks would also suffer because they had sold insurance against default in the form of credit default swaps.

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At that point, they will default.

At that point, Greece will default.

She was forced to confess.

They forced her to confess.

They were forced to withdraw.

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The official line so far has been no default, meaning no sovereign default or that of any bank can be considered.

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