Betting on Ukraine

Betting on the Tortoise in Japan

The Year of Betting Conservatively

The Global Stake in China s Anti Corruption Reform

So it had been a huge gamble, but it had paid off.

The stakes of geo technological competition are higher than ever.

So the stakes in Washington are high for President Hu.

Certainly, this seems to be the prevailing bet in the spin on global warming.

But, rather than folding their cards, European leaders doubled down. They understand that their gamble will be immensely costly if it proves wrong.

Nevertheless, the West appears to be hedging its bets by sustaining contacts with the opposition.

The division of opinion on this question is natural the stakes are too high, and it is one of the clear signs of the health of democracy that opinion can be diverse.

Of the two approaches, Germany s is the more unusual bet.

Upping the ante could turn the tables.

The last and perhaps most difficult part of the wager is Europeanizing the alliance.

If interest rate spreads on Spanish and Italian government bonds are any guide, bondholders are no longer betting on a eurozone breakup.

Although investors believe that the backstop is unlikely to be used, its mere presence dissuades them from betting against Italy.

The Obama administration has staked significant political capital on the wager that Myanmar s promise may finally bear fruit.

The presence of so many armed civilians in Chávez s beloved militias will raise the stakes even higher.

Many will no doubt argue about which alternative France s bet on nuclear power or Germany s solar pathway is wiser.

That raises the stakes of political survival considerably, especially given the absence of any credible guarantor of constitutional norms and behavior.

Thus, the stakes for both the US and Iran are very high.

The letters addressed by President Mbeki to the King of Morocco showed that the Saharan people had never ceased to trust in peace and a peaceful solution, notwithstanding the ever more violent and aggressive statements by various Moroccans in positions of authority.

Although much of the G 20 debate has concerned issues such as global fiscal stimulus, the real high stakes poker involves choosing a new philosophy for the international financial system and its regulation.

But, even as Europe s leaders promised that help was on the way, they doubled down on the belief that non crisis countries must cut spending.

So how can this one way betting be stopped? The scary answer may be that it does not end until governments run out of money (as in Ireland) or the public runs out of sympathy (as in Germany vis à vis the rest of Europe).

In 1996, betting on Shiller s regression analyses was a reasonable and perhaps intelligent thing to do.

Finally, currency chaos is the safest bet of all, with sharp and unpredictable swings in floating exchange rates around the world.

But overall, betting against big government financial institutions proved to be a richly rewarding business.

In the game, players may choose to place bets on either a single number or a range of numbers, the colors red or black, or whether the number is odd or even.

China s new leadership has not just lowered its growth target it has upped the ante on the economy s rebalancing imperatives.

The Obama administration has staked significant political capital on the wager that Myanmar s promise may finally bear fruit. And, indeed, the rate of change in Myanmar over the last two years has been nothing short of remarkable.

Since security is a key element of many other domains of human life and development, the stakes are much higher than those visible at first sight.

Today, there are many more players involved, and the stakes energy security, above all are far higher now.

Confuse the voters enough, and eventually more will be likely to stay with the horse they know.

The problem is that in an election with high stakes and deep polarization, who, exactly, can voters trust?

The first concerns building European defense in harmony with NATO, rather than in opposition to it.

Nevertheless, a dispassionate observer might point out that for someone with limited resources and opportunities for policy reform to keep betting double or nothing on neo liberalism is a strategy that has a well deserved name Gambler s Ruin.

My dad came out to see me graduate and, you know, I did the deal, and my father said, We re really proud of you son, but ... You know what went on, he said, You ve got to start riding and driving and start talking.

Nevertheless, a dispassionate observer might point out that for someone with limited resources and opportunities for policy reform to keep betting double or nothing on neo liberalism is a strategy that has a well deserved name Gambler s Ruin.

These markets needed the big banks to act as stabilizers and take the other side of bets.

And, if the bets don t pay off, the cost to the American taxpayer will be even larger.

In other words, a China centric Asian supply chain has made a big bet on the grand European experiment a bet that now appears to be backfiring.

I hope it does not come to that, and that when the battle smoke clears, Cameron will be left as he deserves to be the only man standing.

Not only did China feel secure in placing such a large bet on the once relatively riskless components of the world s reserve currency, but its exchange rate policy left it little choice.

Strong artificial intelligence (Strong AI) is the bet that computer programmers will somehow eventually achieve a computing machine with a mind of its own, and that it will eventually be more powerful than a human mind.