Given the enormous cost of a default, any government should stay far away from the danger zone.

As Chancellor Angela Merkel and her colleagues promote their well defined plan which comes in addition to a plan for bridge financing while in default the cost of default falls.

Default teaches creditors and their governments a lesson, just as it does the debtors mistakes cost money, and your mistakes are your own.

Default

On December 19, the cost of credit default swaps to insure the debt of Ford was 68 percent the sum insured for five years in addition to annual payments of 5 percent.

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Back then, the International Monetary Fund saved the global banking system by lending just enough money to heavily indebted countries default was avoided, but at the cost of a lasting depression.

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This scalability was magnified by the use of credit default swaps (CDSs), which offered phony insurance against default.

Adherence to the principle of non default produced the French Revolution, the lesson being that political systems will collapse if they take on too much debt and try to pay at any cost.

Second, banks would also suffer because they had sold insurance against default in the form of credit default swaps.

Signs of default stress are already showing.

Predictions of outright default are far fetched.

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After the Greek Default

Why Greece Will Default

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The official line so far has been no default, meaning no sovereign default or that of any bank can be considered.

If just one member of the eurozone embarked on the debt default path, all the rest would immediately come under suspicion. In any case, according to this view, contracts simply must be respected, whatever the cost.

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Credit Default Swaps on Trial

The Euro Zone s Default Position

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BEIJING In the last 200 years, there have been more than 250 cases of sovereign debt default, and 68 cases of domestic debt default.

Either banks need to default on their senior obligations, or the government will need to default alongside the banks.

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How to Default on Sovereign Debt

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At that point, they will default.

The EU s Rules to Default By

At that point, Greece will default.

The danger of default would disappear, as would risk premiums.

This was deemed a credit event, so credit default swaps were exercised anyone who insured against default had to pay out.

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