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After the Greek Default

Why Greece Will Default

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Credit Default Swaps on Trial

The Euro Zone s Default Position

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This scalability was magnified by the use of credit default swaps (CDSs), which offered phony insurance against default.

Either banks need to default on their senior obligations, or the government will need to default alongside the banks.

Second, banks would also suffer because they had sold insurance against default in the form of credit default swaps.

How to Default on Sovereign Debt

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At that point, they will default.

The EU s Rules to Default By

At that point, Greece will default.

The view was expressed that the future protocol should take into account the domestic legislation of States, as some of the default remedies provided in the future protocol could not be implemented domestically.

This was deemed a credit event, so credit default swaps were exercised anyone who insured against default had to pay out.

The official line so far has been no default, meaning no sovereign default or that of any bank can be considered.

Such a strategy of default and devalue has been standard fare for countries in other parts of the world when they were faced with unmanageably large government debt and a chronic current account deficit.

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Nor does Greece s default history inspire confidence.

Signs of default stress are already showing.

Predictions of outright default are far fetched.

As lenders, banks lose when borrowers default.

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That s why market interest rates on privately held Greek bonds and prices for credit default swaps indicate that a massive default is coming.

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They know that debt default would be disruptive.