The higher interest rates rise to stabilize emerging markets currencies, the more severe their crises will be.

That provides the rationale for the Fed s zero interest rate policy but at the obvious cost of discriminating against savers, who lose any semblance of interest income.

Prospective French presidential candidate Nicolas Sarkozy wants the ECB to promote economic growth, not just price stability.

Japan s ultra low interest rate policy was initiated in the 1990 s to put a floor under the economy following the bursting of its asset price bubble.

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The policy of ultra low interest rates was justified in the aftermath of the bursting of Japan s asset price bubble, but Japan stabilized its economy long ago.

The government s macroeconomic stabilization efforts, coupled with policies that increased the country s growth potential, allowed the interest rate to fall over the last decade.

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After that, China will be able to keep its exchange rate pegged only by slavishly following US interest rate policy, which makes no sense for such a large and diverse region.

Had emerging economies resisted the temptation of excessive private sector credit growth, raising interest rates in order to stabilize currencies would not pose a severe threat to economic performance.

For the ECB, an increase of 50 basis points could do the job at this point after which rates could probably be put on hold for some time.

Stabilizing Ukraine

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December 25 A Communist regime is installed in Afghanistan.

Until recently, an exchange rate peg dominated China s monetary policy, with interest rates unchanged for nine years until October 2004, as the government attempted to manage lending through administrative guidance and credit controls.

Interest