The possibilities are endless.

Let me study the possibilities.

ليس لي فقط ولكن لكم جميعا مدونين وقراء ونشطاء

The odds are 30to1, gentlemen.

Well, that narrows it down considerably.

As you are doubtless saying, the odds are against me.

I mean, probability and statistics, it's the mathematics of games and gambling.

It's a way to explore possibilities and opportunities and create more.

The reason is, this isn't how people do odds.

Of course not. There are a hundred possible explanations.

Now, sometimes those probabilities are near certainties.

That's a rather trivial connection between probability and genetics.

So, 2 x 2 x 2 8 possible unique strings.

You could think of a thousand possible uses, I'm sure.

Frigates have a fearsome reputation but the odds are not all in their favor

(Video) SP ... Prospect theory, hyperbolic discounting, status quo bias, base rate bias.

This one band, inspired by their leader Geronimo, tried to defy the odds and hold out.

What I want to do in this video is give you at least a basic overview of 'probability' a word that you've probably heard a lot.

Not at all. I made provision for precisely that sort of eventuality.

The best you could do is ask questions which eliminate half of the possibilities.

The way people figure odds requires that we first talk a bit about pigs.

If you understand what we are facing then you have a moral responsibility to do everything in your power to alter the course that we're on regardless of the odds.

Risk is a term usually used in probability, and it is the product of hazard and vulnerability.

So this is the number of possibilities.

And then we just have to think what fraction of those possibilities meet our constraints? The other way you could have gotten fourteen was by taking 9 2 3.

The lottery is an excellent example, of course an excellent test case of people's ability to compute probabilities.

It turned out he was running a bookie joint tying up our switchboard, using our IBM machines to figure the odds.

But he placed the likelihood of one such event above all others at close to 100 percent, and that is a severe flu pandemic.

What fraction of all of the possible events meet our constraints. So lets just think about all of the possible events first.

How many different possible marbles can we take out?

And you know that business about people not wanting to talk about their worst cases?

From my perspective, we live on a fragile island of life, in a universe of possibilities.

And they have to be in all possibilities, including those I never considered before.

Let's do a couple of excercises from our probability one module. We have a bag with nine red marbles, two blue marbles, and three green marbles in it.

Because I could go on for about two hours with evidence of people's inability to estimate odds and inability to estimate value.

Statistical Probability Mapping then performs mathematical calculations to determine whether any of these abnormalities are clinically significant, allowing us to provide a much more accurate neurological diagnosis of the child's symptoms.

So as it expands and as things expand what we have is the potential for differences, diversity, options, choices, opportunities, possibilities and freedoms.

And there are a number of possibilities, such as increasing circles of reciprocity in the sense that Robert Wright argues for.

Calculating odds would seem to be something rather easy there are six sides to a die, two sides to a coin, 52 cards in a deck.

I think if our students, if our high school students if all of the American citizens knew about probability and statistics, we wouldn't be in the economic mess that we're in today.

One possibility is that your friends say to you something like you know, they adopt a behavior that spreads to you

The worst possibility is that a very simple germ, like staph, for which we have one antibiotic that still works, mutates.

SP ... These four things. Prospect theory, hyperbolic discounting, status quo bias, base rate bias. They're all well documented.

And so you may or may not have already seen the multivariable chain rule.

And if that friendly support is pulled away, that may make a society more likely to collapse.