It's understandable that he would feel this way.

And we know that our variance is essentially the probability of success times the probability of failure.

If this is 60 chance of success there has to be a 40 chance of failure.

But that's a probabilistic statement.

Our mean is p, the probability of success.

There's a much larger probability of this error occurring .

What's the chance of rain today?

She then proceeds to the next most probable number.

You think there's any possibility?

Is there anybody out there?

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That way, it's less likely to tumble down on you.

There's a very high probability that she was the coconspirator.

We can never remove the chance of error completely.

So there's 1 minus p probability of getting 0, so times 0.

And, at the end, although it may rise, it will just cross the mind,

So there is a 1 minus p probability that we get failure, that we get 0.

Spectroscopy can probably answer the question, Is there anybody out there?

70 chance of success, 30 chance of failure.

We have two pieces of observational evidence on the probability of life appearing.

If not, you'll have plenty of opportunities

This suggests that a probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

So I had this idea that oxytocin might be the moral molecule.

The probability of success in this example was 0.6, probability of failure was 0.4.

This suggests that the probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

And then you draw the conclusion the odds of winning the lottery are 100 percent.

And then there is a p probability of getting 1, plus p times 1.

Our borrowing costs were skyrocketing, and we were facing possible default.

We cognitive psychologists know that the easier it is to recall specific instances of something, the higher the probability that you assign to it.

Most of the girls doubted the possibility of that, and said, Are you crazy?

And the odds of hitting the lottery say 649 twice in a row is 6 x 10 to 14.

A few years ago, Professor Vaclav Smil tried to calculate the probability of sudden disasters

So that we have a better understanding of the probability of something being true or not.

And in the context of the social obligation people are more likely to say yes to those that they owe.

But it could equally be the case that it's the learning disabilities that cause the hyperactivity.

So let's just be safe and round down, and say our error probability is 10 to 15.

I am is a completely empty experience, it's devoid of any content, and when I experience it directly, on its own, there's the possibility for a realization

The possibility of sustaining high culture in our time is becoming increasing problematical.

If we just know that the probability of success is p and the probability a failure is 1 minus p.

So the last time you visited a restaurant there's a good chance that the waiter or waitress would have given you a gift.

So they want to know the probability of getting all four of the 1's.

And, at the end, although it may rise, it will just cross the mind, like a bird crossing the sky without leaving any track.

What I then saw in this little moving blue dot was the potential for chaos.

He looked at the odds of another world war, of a massive volcanic eruption, even of an asteroid hitting the Earth.

Now the good news is that the odds of it actually passing through this keyhole and hitting us next go around are one in a million, roughly very, very low odds, so I personally am not lying awake at night worrying about this at all.